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Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

Brazil's External Trade and Trade with Selected Partners

3.General Aspects of Brazil's Foreign Policy

POINTS OF PRESENTATION

Map of South America

Economic Growth %Source: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics - IBGE * Central Bank estimateFundamentals of Brazil's Economy

Brazil's GDP (incorporating purchase power parity rating)Source: CIA World Book

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyTotal GDP US$ 1.929 trillion.

GDP per capita US$ 9.700 (2007) GDP per capita US$ 9.108 (2006)

Brazils GDP in US$Source: Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics - IBGE In yellow IBGEs new methodology .Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

20032004200520062007GDP(Billion)552663.48821,0061,300Population(Million)178.9181.5185.5186.7188.9GDP per capita (Thousand)3,103,664,775,41 6,91

Development of External DebtFundamentals of Brazil's EconomySource: Central Bank* MAR/2008

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyBrazilian International ReservesSource: Central Bank*MAR/2008

Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy Brazilian International ReservesSource: Central Bank*MAR/2008

US$ Billion

Foreign Direct Investment in BrazilSource: Central Bank.

Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy * Estimate

US$ Billion

Foreign Direct Investment in BrazilUS$ BillionFundamentals of Brazil's EconomySource: Central Bank. * Estimate

Brazil: Inflation rate %Source: Central Bank * Estimate Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyBrazilian Direct Investment AbroadSource: Central Bank*Estimate

US$ Billion

YearTotal20024,720030,5200414,3200510,1200634,9200712,1* 200828,0

Brazilian Direct Investment AbroadFundamentals of Brazil's EconomyUS$ BillionSource: Central Bank*Estimate

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyBrazilian Direct Investment Abroad: Main Countries in 2007Source: Central Bank

20%15%10%10%9%4%3%29%

94%

2%4%Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyBrazilian Direct Investment Abroad By Sector in 2007Source: Central Bank

2008 Mirab (Argentina) by Marfrig (US$ 36 million) 1

2007 Swift Foods by Friboi (US$ 1.5 billion) 2

2007 Chaparral Steel by Gerdau (US$ 4.2 billion)3

2007 - Aceras Paz (Colombia) by the Votorantim Group (US$ 491 million)4

2006 INCO (Canada) by Vale do Rio Doce (US$ 13.4 billion)5

2005 Loma Negra (Argentina) by Camargo Correa (US$ 1.025 billion) 6Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomySome Brazilian Acquisitions AbroadSources: 1 Estado de So Paulo, 3 January 20082 www.jbs.com.br3 www.gerdau.com.br

4 Valor Econmico, 27 December 20075 www.vale.com.br6 www.camargocorrea.com.br

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyForeign Direct Investments: Outflows by CountrySource: Unctad, World Investment Report 2007

US$ BillionBrazil

US$ BillionFundamentals of Brazil's EconomyForeign Direct Investments: Inflows by CountrySource: Unctad, World Investment Report 2007

Brazil

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyDevelopment R$ x US$Source: Central Bank

1,74

Grf2

2.65

2.66

2.33

2.19

2.13

2.04

1.77

1.78

1.74

1.7

1.68

1.74

R$

1,68

Plan1

12/31/042.65

3/31/052.66

12/30/052.33

3/31/062.19

12/29/062.13

3/30/072.04

12/31/071.77

1/29/081.78

2/1/081.74

2/25/081.7

3/3/081.68

3/20/081.74

Plan1

2.65

2.66

2.33

2.19

2.13

2.04

1.77

1.78

1.74

1.7

1.68

1.74

&A

Page &P

R$ Values

Plan2

Plan3

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyDevelopment R$ x Source: Central Bank

2,55

Grf2

3.54

3.61

3.67

3.73

2.63

2.87

2.73

2.63

2.62

2.58

2.52

2.55

2.68

R$

Plan1

9/30/043.54

12/31/043.61

3/31/053.67

12/30/053.73

3/31/062.63

12/29/062.87

3/30/072.73

12/31/072.63

1/29/082.62

2/1/082.58

2/25/082.52

3/3/082.55

3/20/082.68

Plan2

Plan3

Source: Central Bank

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomyDevelopment R$ x RMB

Grf2

0.3213

0.3227

0.29

0.2709

0.2739

0.2653

0.2454

0.2425

0.2468

0.2385

0.2349

0.2401

R$

Plan1

12/31/040.3213

3/31/050.3227

12/30/050.29

3/31/060.2709

12/29/060.2739

3/30/070.2653

9/28/070.2454

12/31/070.2425

1/29/080.2468

2/25/080.2385

3/5/080.2349

3/25/080.2401

Plan1

0.3213

0.3227

0.29

0.2709

0.2739

0.2653

0.2454

0.2425

0.2468

0.2385

0.2349

&A

Page &P

Plan2

Plan3

Main problems yet to be solvedtaxes are not competitive;

interest rates are very high;

Brazilian currency overvalued.Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

Brazilian AgribusinessSource: International Relations and Trade Institute - Icone Brasil

Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy

ProductsPosition between main exports% of Total Global ExportationsOrange juice181%Chicken Meat135%Sugar133%Coffee130%Tobacco127%Bovine Meat124%Ethanol113%Soy232%Soy Oil228%Pork 311%Cotton35%

Automotive ProductionSource: National Automotive Industry Association - ANFAVEA * estimateFundamentals of Brazil's Economy

YearCars and light commercial vehiclesTrucksBusesTotal20031,721.11078,93826,9901,827.03820042,181.131107,33828,7582,317.22720052,375.142117,89235,2662,528.30020062,471.224106,00133,8092,611.03420072,794.679136,98038,7852,970.444* 20083,592.000127,10444,5203,763.624

2005 1.85 million barrels a day2006 Brazil achieves self sufficiency in oil2007 Discovery of Tupi oilfield with estimated 10 billion of barrels of oil. The discovery doubles Brazilian reserves.2008 Discovery of Carioca oilfield with estimated 33 billion barrels of oil. Discovery more than doubles oil reserves again.2010 3.4 million barrels a day*

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomySource: Petrobrs * Petrobrs estimateOil Production

Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy500 million litres/yearIncrease in cultivated area by 67,000 hectaresCreation of 20,000 direct jobs and 60,000 indirect jobsInvestments in production chain estimated at around USD 150 million/yearCO2 emission reduction by 3.5 million tons/yearEthanol ProductionSource: Sugar Cane Industry Union - UNICA

Aeroplane Trade (US$ Million FOB)Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDICFundamentals of Brazil's Economy

200220032004200520062007Exports2,799.22,050.03,371.33,302.83,442.54,367.5Imports685.0591.3888.3967.71,234.51,593,2Balance2,114.21,458.62,482.62,335.12,208.02,774.30Flow of Commerce3,484.22,641.34,260.04,270.54,676.05,960.70

The ship industry in Brazil is rebuilding itself after years of depression. By 2012, 26 new ships will be delivered to Transpetro (Petrobras Transports) with the contracts in that respect worth US$ 2,5 billion.

In 2007 direct jobs in the Brazilian ship industry increased by 40,000.

By October 2007, the total of the loans from BNDES* was in the amount of R$ 3,6 billion in relation to the ship industry.

The estimated income of the ship industry is R$ 4,5 billion, from building ships to building oil platforms.*BNDES - Brazilian Development BankSource: Construction Industry National SyndicateFundamentals of Brazil's EconomyShip Industry

Fundamentals of Brazil's Economy Steel :In 2007, Brazilian production reached record levels, closing at 40 million tons, up from 30,9 million of 2006.

The estimate for 2008 is an increase of 10,8%

Cement :In 2007, Brazil produced 45.878 millions tons of cement, an increase of 9,4% from 2006. Source: Brazilian Cement Association and Brazilian Iron InstituteBase Industries

39%46%15%Brazil's Social Development: Division by Classes in 2007

Source: Ipsos Public Affairs and the financial institution Cetelem. 86,2 million people28 million people72,9 million peopleFundamentals of Brazil's Economy

Fundamentals of Brazil's EconomySource: Ipsos Public Affairs and the financial institution Cetelem. Brazil's Social Development: Growth of Class C % of Population

34%36%48%

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC * Central Bank estimate

US$ Billion

Brazilian TradeBrazil's External Trade and Trade with Selected Partners

YearExportationUS$ FOBImportation US$ FOBBalanceUS$ FOBFlow of CommerceUS$ FOB

200496,6762,8333,84159,512005118,5273,6044,93192,122006137,8091,3546,45229,152007160,64120,6240,02281,27* 200818215527337

Brazilian Trade US$ Billion

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC * Central Bank estimate


Brazilian Trade with European UnionUS$ Billion

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC * JAN/FEV 2008


US$ Billion

Brazilian Trade with European UnionSource: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC * JAN/FEV 2008


Brazilian Trade with ChinaUS$ Billion

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC * JAN/FEV 2008


Brazilian Flow of TradeSource: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC FEB/2008


Sources of Brazils ImportsSource: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC JAN/2008


19%35%24%10%7%5%Flow of trade between Brazil and selected economic blocsSource: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC FEB/2008


Source: Brazilian Confederation of Agriculture and Livestock - CNA*Estimate

Brazil's Agribusiness TradeBrazil's External Trade and Trade with Selected PartnersUS$ Billion

Main Destinations for Brazil's Agribusiness ExportationSource: Brazilian Confederation of Agriculture and Livestock - CNA*Estimate


Main Destinations for Brazil's Agribusiness ExportationBrazil's External Trade and Trade with Selected PartnersSource: Brazilian Confederation of Agriculture and Livestock - CNA*Estimate

Source: Guia Exame 2005 Agronegcio apud FAO/IBGE.

General Aspects of Brazil's Foreign PolicyBrazils prevailing foreign policy doctrine recognizesthe vulnerability of the country in a number of areas:

Economic;Technological;Political;Commercial; andMilitary.Source: Ministry of External Relations of Brazil

General Aspects of Brazil's Foreign PolicyBrazils present foreign policy doctrine recommendsalliances with other major developing countries such as:

China; India; Russia; and South Africa

In order to minimize such vulnerabilities.Source: Ministry of External Relations of Brazil

4th floor, 193/195 Brompton Road SW3 1NE London England Phones:Tel: (20) 7581-5040 Fax:(20) 7581-8002 Email: [email protected]

NORONHA ADVOGADOS IN LONDONNoronha Advogados have had a presence in London since 1988.

Today, the firm assists clients of various nationalities wishing to do business in the United Kingdom, as well as the European Union. It also assists clients interested in business opportunities in Brazil.

The office has a wide range of international professionals, capable of practising law in different European jurisdictions, as well as in Brazil. Contact: Vera Helena de Moraes [email protected]

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