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    Circulaes Locais

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    What is the effect ofchanges in the surface

    forcing on rainfall?

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    http://www.master.iag.usp.br/

    ensino

    ciculaes locais

    CirculacoesLocais.pdf

    http://www.master.iag.usp.br/http://www.master.iag.usp.br/
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    Evoluo diurna, camada de mistura ecirculaes locais

    QH QLEQR

    QA

    Balano de energia em superfcie

    QR+ QH + QLE +QG+ QA = 0

    Razo deBowen

    LE

    H

    Q

    Q

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    Stull, 1988, An Introduction to Boundary Layer Meteorology

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    QH

    QLEQH

    QLE

    c1 c2

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    FRIO QUENTE

    z

    x

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    Mixed layer evolution

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    1800

    5 10 15 20

    Local time

    Height

    (m) pasture dry

    pasture wetforest dry

    forest wet

    Fisch et al 2001

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    Circulaes entre reas desmatadas e floresta

    Silva Dias, M. A. F. e P. Regnier, 1996: Simulation of MesoscaleCirculations in a Deforested Area of Rondonia in the Dry Season. In:Amazonian Deforestation and Climate. J. Gash, C. Nobre, J. Roberts, R.Victoria, Eds., John Wiley & Sons, pp. 531-547

    Silva Dias, M. Longo, D. R. Fitzjarrald, A. S. Denning. River breezecirculation in Eastern Amazon: observations and modeling results.Theoretical and Applied Climatology, DOI 10.1007/s00704-004-0047-6, , v. 78, n. 1-3, p. 111-121,2004.Fisch, G. F., Tota, J. Machado, L. A T. Silva Dias, M. A. F.;Lyra, R. F. F.

    Nobre, C. , Dolman, A J., Gash, J. H. C. . The convective boundary layerover pasture and forest in Amazonia. . Theoretical and AppliedClimatology, DOI 10.1007/s00704-004-0043-x , v. 78, n. 1-3, p. 47-59,2004.

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    CIRSAN/LBACirculaes em Santarm

    http://www.lba.iag.usp.br

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    29,0

    29,5

    30,0

    30,5

    31,0

    31,5

    32,0

    08:00 11:00 14:00 17:00

    Local time (hours)

    Watertemperature(deg.C)

    0.1m

    0.3 m

    0.7 m

    1.0 m

    c

    23 July 2001 Tapajs

    (from Pindobal to Boimand back)

    26

    27

    28

    29

    30

    31

    32

    10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00

    Local time (hours)

    Watertemperature(deg.C)

    0.1m

    0.3 m

    0.7 m

    1.0 m

    28 July 2001 Tapajs & Amazonas(red line: temperature where the two riversmerge)

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    16/76CPTEC global analysis

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    17/76CPTEC global analysis

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    RUN 2 23 M ABOVE THE SURFACE

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    Vertical cross sections

    Grid 2

    Tapajs and Amazonas with different

    temperatures

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    RUN 2 23 M ABOVE THE SURFACE

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    RUN 2 23 M ABOVE THE SURFACE

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    RUN 2 23 M ABOVE THE SURFACE

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    RUN 2 23 M ABOVE THE SURFACE

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    Vertical cross sections

    Grid 2

    Tapajs and Amazonas with different

    temperatures

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    u and w streamlines perpendicular to the Tapajs river

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    Potencial temperature

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    Potencial temperature

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    Potencial temperature

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    Potencial temperature

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    Potencial temperature

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    Potencial temperature

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    Qual o efeito do desmatamento na formaode nuvens e de chuva?

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    TRMM-LBA Region: Forest vs. Non-Forest

    SPOL

    Profiler

    TOGAFOREST

    NON-FOREST

    Carey et al 2001

    RONDNIA

    Rondnia topography

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    TRMM-LBA Region: Topography

    Elevated>= 223 m

    Non-Elevated< 223 m

    Carey et al 2001

    Rondnia - topography

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    6:20 7:20 8:20 9:20 10:20 11:20 12:20

    Local Time

    Time of first radar echoes

    S-Pol Jan/Feb 1999

    easterlies

    westerlies

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    0,0

    20,0

    40,0

    60,0

    80,0

    Frequenc

    y

    (%)

    Forest -

    Below

    Aver age

    Forest -

    Above

    Aver age

    Pasture -

    Below

    Aver age

    Pasture -

    Above

    Aver age

    Vegetation Altitude at Location of Convection

    Initiation

    Wet Season - All Cases

    TOG

    SPO

    Pereira et al 2000

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    Carey et al 2001

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    Category February 1999 MeanRain Depth (mm)

    Forested 198.5Non-Forested 183.1

    Relative Difference

    (F-NF)/[(F+NF)/2]

    8 %

    TRMM-LBA: SPOL Derived Rain Depth (mm)

    February 1999

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    525

    45

    65

    85

    105

    125

    145

    165

    185

    205

    225

    245

    265

    285

    305

    325

    345

    365

    385

    more

    Rain Depth Bin (mm)

    Fractionof

    GridCells(%)

    Forested

    Non-Forested

    Effects of Deforestation on Cumulative Rain Depth

    Carey et al 2001

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    TRMM-LBA: S-POL Derived Rain Depth (mm)

    February 1999

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    5 25 45 65 85 105

    125

    145

    165

    185

    205

    225

    245

    265

    285

    305

    325

    345

    365

    385

    more

    Rain Depth Bin (mm)

    FractionofGridCells(%)

    Elevated

    Non-Elevated

    Effects of Elevation on Rain Depth

    Carey et al 2001

    Estao Chuvosa 1999 Radar Total de Chuva Mensal

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    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    ALL

    NE E

    NF F

    NF

    NE

    NF

    E

    F

    NE

    F

    E

    Surface category

    M

    ontlyPrecipitation(mm)

    F - Floresta; NF No FlorestaE - Elevado; NE- No Elevado

    Horizontal resolution: 4 km

    l k l b

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    RAMS simulation, 2 km resolution, 7 Feb 1999

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    7 February 1999

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    C t l i t f d f t ti

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    0,6

    0,7

    0,8

    0,9

    1

    1,1

    1,2

    0 20 40 60 80 100Deforestation (%)

    Relative

    Precipitation

    .Avissar et al 2002

    Conceptual impact of deforestation on

    relative precipitation

    Durieux, Machado & Laurent, 2003: The effect of

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    deforestation on cloud cover...Deforest (D)

    Florest (R)

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    Estao secaMais nuvenscumulus sobre

    regiesdesmatadas tarde e menosnuvens

    cumulonimbus noite.

    Cobertura de Nuvens Baixas

    Cobertura de Nuvens Altas

    Ch Mais Nuvens

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    Estao Chuvosa Mais NuvensCumulonimbus

    sobre regies que

    incluemdesmatamentoHigh Cloud Cover

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    Estao seca - dia

    Solo quente e seco

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    Estao chuvosa

    "More precipitation over deforested areas in the wet season,l i th d i d lit

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    less in the dry season: increased seasonality -may be a northward shift of the equatorial-tropical transition

    zone" - Durieux et al

    ++-

    Avano doregime de

    chuvas docerrado

    Negri et al, 2004 The Impact of Amazonian Deforestation on Dry Season

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    Negri et al, 2004 The Impact of Amazonian Deforestation on Dry SeasonRainfall

    Analysis of 14 yearsof monthly estimatesfrom the SpecialSensor MicrowaveImager revealed thatonly in August did the

    pattern of rainfallshow increasesover the deforestedregion.

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    Travelling Mesoscale Convective Systems are a main source ofprecipitation in the Amazon Basin: initial development is a function of

    surface but MCS forgets its origin during the lifetime