apresentação do presidente, josé sergio gabrielli de azevedo, na câmara de comércio brasil ...
TRANSCRIPT
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José Sergio Gabrielli de AzevedoPetrobras CEO
March 8th, 2010
The presentation may contain forecasts about future events. Such forecasts merely reflect the expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein. The Company is not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts in light of new information or future developments.
The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR US INVESTORS
DISCLAIMER
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3
THE PRE-SALT REGION
Legend:
Drilled wells (BR non operator)Drilled wells (BR operator)Pre-Salt reservoirsProduction fieldsExploratory blocks
Total Area: 149,000 km2Area Under Concession: 41,772 km2 (28%)
Area Not Under Concession: 107,228 km² (72%)Area With Petrobras Interest: 35,739 km2 (24%)
Vision for 2013Vision for 2013
• 9,629 km of gas pipelines• 7,484 MW of capacity of thermal power generation• 3 LNG terminals in 2013
Natural Gas Supply Growth Natural Gas Supply Growth 2008: Brazil - 29 MM m3/d 2013: Brazil - 73 MM m3/d
Bolivia -29 MM m3/d Bolivia - 30 MM m3/dLNG - 32 MM m3/d
OIL AND GAS PRODUCTIONOIL AND GAS PRODUCTION
GAS AND ENERGYGAS AND ENERGY
RNE230 th bpd
UPB150 th
bpd
REPARRev amp25 th bpd
Clara Camarão
REVAP10 th bpd
REPLANRev amp33 th bpd
DOMESTIC CRUDE THROUGHPUTDOMESTIC CRUDE THROUGHPUT
1.7 92 1.8 55 1.9 712.68 0
3.92 0316
634
1.177
141
2 10
409
273 32112 6 12 4110 100 9 7
131
2 23
2007 2008 2009 2013 2020Oil Production - Brazil Gas Production - Brazil
Oil Production - International Gas Production - International
2,4002,301
4.8% p.y.
5,729
7.7% p.y.
3,655
2,525
9.7% p.y.
Premium I(600 th bpd)and Premium II (300 th bpd)
1st Phase: 20132nd Phase: 2015
25% 59%
7%
3%2% 2% 2% CAPEX 2009CAPEX 2009--2013:2013: US$174.4 billionUS$174.4 billion
104.6 *43.4
11.85.6 3.0
2.83.2
E&P
RTC
G&E
Petrochemicals
Distribution
Biof uels
Corporate
* US$ 17.0 billion allocated to Exploration
BUSINESS PLAN 2009-2013
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There will be no regulatory changes in the areas under concession, including the pre-salt area already granted
Petrobras 100%
Petrobras Operator
Other companies Trough Bidding Process
Transfer of Rights with compensation
Production Sharing
AgreementPre-salt
andStrategic Areas
NEW REGULATORY MODEL
Other AreasCurrent
Concession Model
5
INDICADORES DE DESEMPENHO
Data refers to 3rd quarter 2009
BUSINESS PLAN X PETROBRAS’ INVESTMENTS
Actual Investment Year Average – PN 2008-2012 Year Average – PN 2009-2013
Year Average – PN 2003-2007 Year Average – PN 2006-2010 Year Average – PN 2007-2011
CL(%)
6Target for Local Content
12.4
7.76.65.6
21.2
25.0
19.9
70.6%69.8%68.4%68.5%67.2%66.0%64.0%59.9%
63.1%59.7%
57.3%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
US
$ bi
llion
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
75%
LC (%
)
5.8
9.9
15.0
19.5
31.6
7
3 3,4 5,
3 6,1
11
15
17,4
22,4
21,5 22
,5 25,3
5,2
5,7 8,
4 10,2
17,2
22,7 25
,9
32,7
31,4
32,2
35,9
3,5 4,6 6,
7 9,2
15
18,9
15,8
6,2 7,4 9,
6 12,4
19,9
25
21,2
59%63% 59%
64% 66% 67% 69% 68% 70% 71%
57%62%
70%74% 75% 76% 74%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Target- National Target- Total Accrued NationalAccrued- Total Target- LCI Accrued- LCI
LOCAL CONTENT INCREASE
o Increase on local content from 57% (2003) to 75% (3rd quarter 2009)
o The increase brought an additional capital of US$ 15.8 bi due to Brazilian economy acquisitions
o Generation of 690,000 additional jobs in the industry
Sources: Prominp LCI= Local Content Index
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New VesselsDelivery Plan
Critical Resources2009 to
20132013 to 2015
2016 to 2020
Large Vessels (1) 44 5 0Supply and Special Vessel 92 50 53
Production Platforms(2) 15 8 22Others (Jack-ups and TLWP) 2 2 3
Total 153 65 78
(1)Promef 1 and Promef 2(2)FPSO and SS
OPPORTUNITIES FOR NEW PLAYERS: NEW VESSELS, EQUIPAMENTS AND DRILLING RIGS
Supply VesselLarge Vessel (VLCC)
Production Platform (FPSO)
75426
98426
48470
3
2440
22161
2793434
7143
4171280
2291280
140629
60931
256133
89106
645
410278
23603
Wet Christmas Tree
Dry Christmas Tree
Wet WellheadDry Wellhead
Manifolds
CompressorsFilters
Flares
Generators
Drawork
CraneReactors
Tanks
TowersTurbines
Oil-Water Separator
Ignition Combustion Engines
2009 2010-2013
NEW EQUIPAMENTS PURCHASES
58 New Drilling Rigs until 201858 New Drilling Rigs until 2018o 23 being delivered between 2009 and 2011o 9 will be chartered via international bidding, being
delivered in 2012: Meeting Petrobras’ short-term needs, while the national industry prepares itself for additional orders
o 28 will be built in Brazil and being delivered between 2013 and 2018
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE IN THE DEEPWATER
XOM
APC6%
MUR
o Petrobras operates 22% of global deepwater production and 18% of all operating vessels
Source: (1) PFC Energy | Note: Estimated v olumes abov e ref lect what operators are responsible f or producing, not what they keep on a net working interest or entitlement basis. Minimum water depth is 300 meters; twelv e operators abov e account f or 94% of global deepwater production in 2008. (2) Copy right © 2008 ODS-Petrodata, Inc.
2008 Gross Global Operated 2008 Gross Global Operated Deepwater Production Deepwater Production
PBR22%
XOM14%
RDS14%
STL14%
BP9%
TOT8%
CVX6%
APC5%
BG4%
MUR2%
REL1%
HES1%
2%
HES
1%1%REL
45
8
1515
13
1210
8
5
12
9
100
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Petrobras
ShellStatoilHydro
ExxonMobil
BPChevron
AnadarkoTotal
CNOOCConocoPhillips
ENI/AgipOthers
FPSO Semi Spar TLP Other
FPS OperatorsFPS OperatorsAll Contracted Vessels (252 Vessels Total)All Contracted Vessels (252 Vessels Total)
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE IN DEEPWATER
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10
Investments in Technology2009-2013
US$ 4.0 billion
47%
23%
5%
25%
E&P Downstream G&E Corp.(Cenpes)
Partnership with over 120 universities and research centers in Brazil, and 70
Institutions abroad.
PETROBRAS RESEARCH CENTER: TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION FOR THE NEXT DECADES
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New Laboratories Building
PETROBRAS Operational Units
National Research and Educational Institutions
Equipment purchases
Infrastructure increase Regional Centers
Research Infrastructure building following international standards
7 Regional CentersRJ - Rio de Janeiro(2) and Macaé(1)BA - SalvadorRN - NatalSE - AracajuES - Vitória
2006 200938 Thematic Networks 50 Thematic Networks
71 Institutions in 19 states 80 Institutions in 19 states
2006 – 2008422 signed agreements with 52 national research and educational institutions
Contracts worth R$ 724 Millions
THEMATIC NETWORKS AND REGIONAL CENTERS
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Technological BottleneckIdentification of needs
Search for: ready solutions or capabilities to be developed Cooperation term with supplier
Engineer development Models manufactory and laboratory tests
Prototypes manufactory and field tests
Register
oDevelopment of 600 suppliers (70% nationals) in 16 years of CTs use
o Between 1993 and 2008: US$ 2.2 bi in the development of new suppliers and materials
SUPPLIERS DEVELOPMENT
Material and/or supplier homologation
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LocalIndustry
Industry Competitiveness Purchase Power
• Association with local companies
• Implementation of industrial plants in
Brazil
SUPPLY
G&S Demand(Scale)
O&GOperators
(Supply Chain)
DEMAND-DRIVEN INDUSTRIAL POLICY
Sustainable Actions
Support ActionsInfra
Structure PeopleTechnology
Promotion Actions
Assessment Financing
Industry
O&G Operators
Government
Combined agents (Prominp)
Inte
rna t
iona
l C
ompa
n ies
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Imports
Current Demand
National Industry
Future Demand
GOOD AND SERVICES SUPPLY
National Industry
Imports
National Industry
Adequacy of The National Supply Industrial Complex
COMPETITIVE NATIONAL SUPPLY OF GOODS AND SERVICES
1. Increase productivity capacity of highly competitive sectors
2. Develop competition among medium competitive sectors
3. Incentive for new national entrants
4. Incentive for association between national and international companies
5. Incentive for international companies to establish operations in Brazil
PATH
Increase in National
Supply Capacity of
G&S
G&S Demands(Scale)
O&GOperators
Sub-component/Auxiliary Services
Implementation/ C&A
Sub-Suppliers
SuppliersEPC
Integrator
Shipyard
Goods & Services
G&S Supply Chain
Plant/ UnitEquipments
/MaterialsSub-Components
Supply Chain
DemandDemand Demand
DEMAND DECOMPOSITION AND SUPPLY CHAIN
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SUPRIMENTOIndústriaNacional
(Cadeia de Suprimento)
Implementation/ C&A
Demandas de B&S(Escala)
Operadorasde P&GEPC
Integrator
Shipyard
Goods & Services
G&S Supply Chain
Sub-component/Auxiliary Services
Plant/ UnitEquipments
/MaterialsSub-Components
Supply Chain
DemandDemand Demand
Demand Organization:
Demand Decomposition
Supply Chain Visibility
Tool ( Special website for the supply chain)
Important Questions
Suppliers
Sub-Suppliers
DEMAND DECOMPOSITION AND SUPPLY CHAIN
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SPECIAL WEBSITE FOR OIL AND GAS SUPPLY CHAIN SECTOR
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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
52,862Qualified
Professionals
207,643Human Resource Gap
BP 2009-13
Leasing of 19 Vessels
Refinery- Premium I
28 Rigs146 supply vessels
New Production Platforms
Promef II
Refinery-Premium II
Business Plan 2008 – 2012
25,540Professionals
Selected
PROMINP - NEW HUMAN RESOURCES DEMAND
CO2 separation / capture technology
Offshore logistical hub
Floating LNGOffshore gas
storage in salt caves
Offshore produced fluid handling hubs
Water-alternating-gas (HC or CO2)
injectionExtended-reach
and deviated wells (salt)
Dry completion systems (SPAR, TLP, FPDSO, …)
Reservoir Characterization
CO2 storage in saline aquifers,
depleted fields, salt caves
Deepwater CALM buoy
Flow Assurance and formation
damage control
PLANSAL - Pre-Salt Development Master Plan
MAJOR TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS UNDER EVALUATION
Pre-Salt Definitive
Development
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Thank You