[email protected] ricardo wilson-grau in rio de janeiro 15 december 2010 an outcome...
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Ricardo Wilson-Grau in Rio de Janeiro15 December 2010
An Outcome Mapping Learning Community
Webinar
The fish soup development story
Inspired by Monika Jetzin, Global Water Partnership, Hungary
The difference between simple and complex fish soups
Example adapted from Getting to Maybe, How the World Is Changed?, Frances Westley, Brenda Zimmerman, Michael Q. Patton, Random House Canada, 2006.
Inspired by the IDRC EcoHealth and Complexity study group, with special thanks to Andrés Sánchez.
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A simple situationThe relations of cause and effect are known. The parents follow the great grandmother’s recipe for fish soup. The quantity and nature of the ingredients are spelled out, as well as the order in how they should be combined. The parents do not need expertise although of course experience in cooking helps. If they follow the recipe they will produce basically the same soup week after week.
In the real world, the results can be much less certain. The great grandmother’s recipe is lost.Her recommended fish is not available in the market every week of the year.The family’s buying power varies from year to year.Children are different and change as they grow:
One becomes a vegetarian. Another goes on a diet. A third is simply rebellious.
Outside factors and actors influence the children – school, TV, friends and so forth
If only life were so simple!
In such a complex situation The relationships of cause and effect are unknown until the
outcomes emerges. To produce a nutritious soup that their children will eat once a
week for the rest of their lives, the recipe is less important than the parents’ relationships with each son and daughter, and theirs with their social environment.
More than cooking experience, parent’s must rely on their sensitivity to their children’s needs and their own creativity inthe kitchen.
And they must accept uncertainty about the results.
TimeTime
Conventional thinking…Conventional thinking…
[email protected]@inter.nl.net
ACTIVITIESACTIVITIES
OUTPUTSOUTPUTS
OUTCOMESOUTCOMES
IMPACTIMPACT
INPUTSINPUTS
Inspired by Jeff Conklin, Inspired by Jeff Conklin, cognexus.orgcognexus.org
TimeTime
… clashes with relationships of cause and effect that are unknown
ACTIVITIESACTIVITIES
OUTPUTSOUTPUTS
OUTCOMESOUTCOMES
IMPACTIMPACT
INPUTSINPUTS
Inspired by Jeff Conklin, Inspired by Jeff Conklin, cognexus.orgcognexus.org
[email protected]@inter.nl.net
… clashes with relationships of cause and effect that are unknown
OUTPUTOUTPUT
OUTCOMEOUTCOME
INPUTSINPUTS
ACTIVITYACTIVITY
INPUTSINPUTSACTIVITYACTIVITY
INPUTSINPUTS
ACTIVITYACTIVITY
INPUTSINPUTS
OUTPUTOUTPUT
OUTPUTOUTPUT
ACTIVITYACTIVITY
OUTPUTOUTPUT
OUTPUTOUTPUT
OUTCOMEOUTCOME
OUTCOMEOUTCOME
OUTCOME
OUTCOME
OUTCOMEOUTCOME
OUTCOMEOUTCOME
OUTCOME
OUTCOME
[email protected]@inter.nl.net
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Complex situationsJ F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Complex situationsJ F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
MonitoringIntentional design
Year #1 Year #2 Year #3
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Complex situationsJ F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Formative evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Complex situationsJ F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Summative evaluation
Formative evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Simple situations
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Evaluation Monitoring
Intentional designYear #1 Year #2 Year #3
Complex situationsJ F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
Developmental evaluation
Year #1 Year #2 Year #3
