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INSTITUTO TECNOLOGICO SUPERIOR DE LACOSTA CHICA.

MATERIA:

GESTION DE LA PRODUCCION I

CATEDRATICO

JORGE ALBERTO CORONADO MONTOR

TRABAJO.2.1 IMPORTANCIA ESTRATEGICA DEL PRONSTICO Y LA DEMANDA.

EQUIPO:

GESTION DE INVENTARIOS.

INTEGRANTES

VAZQUEZ GUILLEN FRANCISCO ANICA VELEZ DANIELA LIZETH

VILLEGAS GOMEZ GUADALUPE YARELIRENDON CISNEROS ADILENE

CARRERA

INGENIERA EN GESTION EMPRESARIAL.

TURNO

VESPERTINO

OMETEPEC GRO; 24 DE FEBRERO DEL 2015.

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2.1.- IMPORTANCIA ESTRATEGICA DEL PRONSTICO LADEMANDA.

DEFINICIN DE PRONSTICO.

Los !o"#s$%&os so" !'(%&&%o"'s (' )o *+' +'(' s+&'('! o 's '!,!- so"!' %s,s o s+ os%&%o"'s /0s%&,s '" *+' s' /,s," ), ),"',&%#" ), $o , ('('&%s%o"'s.

E) o/ '$%3o (' +" !o"#s$%&o 's !'(+&%! ), %"&'!$%(+ /!' ,&'!&, (' )o *+' +'(',&o"$'&'! '" ') 4+$+!o !o o!&%o","(o %"4o! ,&%#" &'!&,", , ), !',)%(,(- *+''! %$, $o ,! ('&%s%o"'s.

CLASIFICACIN.C!"#! $%&'!: D' 5 , 6 's's- s' +$%)%7, '" &o !,s- ,s%8",&%#" (' $,!',s "%3')'s (' !o(+&&%#".M()*&+! $%&'!: D' 6 's's , 6 ,9os- !o '(%os o3%/)'s- !o '(%oso3%/)'s &o" 'so- s+,3%7,(o ': o"'"&%,)- $'"('"&%,s '" s'!%'s ('$%' o , &o!$o ),7o.L&",! $%&'!: D' 6 ,9os , ; ,9os- ),"',&%#" (' 3'"$,s !o(+&&%#"-!'s+ +'s$o (' '4'&$%3o.

TIPOS DE PRONOSTICOS

L,s o!8,"%7,&%o"'s ' )'," $!'s $% os !%"&% ,)'s (' !o"#s$%&os ,) ),"',! s+so '!,&%o"'s 4+$+!,s" s' &o"o&'" &o o !o"#s$%&os (' 3'"$,s , +(," , o!%'"$,! )os s%s$' ,s (' !o(+&&%#"- &, ,&%(,( !o8!, ,&%#" ('), ' !'s,- s%!3' &o o 4,&$o!'s '" ), ),"',&%#" 4%","&%'!,- ,!?'$%"8 '!so",).

IMPORTANCIA

L, 4o! +),&%#" (' !o"#s$%&o @o !o '&&%#" 's +", $>&"%&, ,!, +$%)%7,! ': '!%'"&%,s ,s,(,s &o" ), 4%",)%(,( (' !'('&%! ': '&$,$%3,s (') 4+$+!o.

Es "'&'s,!%o ,!, $o(, o!8,"%7,&%#" 's$% ,! ') &o o!$, %'"$o 4+$+!o (' ,)8+",3,!%,/)' , s', , &o!$o- '(%,"o o ),!8o ),7o- 's ') +"$o (' ,!$%(, ,!, ),),"',&%#".P!%"&% ,) '"$' )os !o"#s$%&os so" % o!$,"$'s o! *+>" )), ,(,s (' /%'"'s "o "'&'s,!%os-&o"s+ o s+"$+,!%o (o"(' s' s,$%s4,&' +" 8+s$o "o +", "'&'s%(,(.@P'!4+ 's- !o , 4%",- ')'&$!#"%&,

IMPORTANCIA.

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1 D'&%(%! s% ), (' ,"(, 's s+4%&%'"$' ,!, +s$%4%&,! ), '"$!,(, ,)'!&,(o.

2 D'$'! %",! ),s "'&'s%(,('s , ),!8o ),7o (' ), &, ,&%(,( ,!, ')(%s'9o (' %"s$,),&%o"'s.

6 D'$'! %",! ),s 4)+&$+,&%o"'s , &o!$o ),7o '" ), (' ,"(, ,!, ),),"',&%#" (' ), !o(+&&%#"- ), !o8!, ,&%#" (' ), 4+'!7, (' $!,/, o-), ),"',&%#" (' )os ,$'!%,)'s o$!,s "'&'s%(,('s.

D' '"(' (' ), (' ,"(, ),s ' !'s,s ,!, o4'!$,! s+s !o(+&$os- /+s&,! 's$!,$'8%,s o $>&"%&,s *+' )'s 4,&%)%$'" s+s &)%'"$'s.

CONCLUSIN.E) !o"#s$%&o 's ), /,s' (' ), ),"',&%#" &o! o!,$%3, , ),!8o ),7o. E" ),s 0!',s4+"&%o",)'s (' 4%","7,s &o"$,/%)%(,(- )os !o"#s$%&os !o o!&%o"," ') 4+"(, '"$o,!, ), ),"',&%#" (' !'s+ +'s$os &o"$!o) (' &os$os.

E) ,!?'$%"8 (' '"(' (') !o"#s$%&o (' 3'"$,s ,!, ),"',! !o(+&$os "+'3os ')'!so",) (' !o(+&&%#" o '!,&%o"'s +$%)%7, )os !o"#s$%&os ,!, $o ,! ('&%s%o"'s'!%#(%&,s *+' &o !'"('" ), s')'&&%#" (' !o&'sos- ), ),"',&%#" (' ),s

&, ,&%(,('s ), (%s$!%/+&%#" (' ),s %"s$,),&%o"'s- ,s= &o o ,!, $o ,! ('&%s%o"'s&o"$%"+,s &'!&, (' ), ),"',&%#" (' ), !o(+&&%#"- ), !o8!, ,&%#" ') %"3'"$,!%o.

E) !o"#s$%&o (' ), (' ,"(, &o"s%s$' '" 's$% ,! ),s 3'"$,s (' +" !o(+&$o

(+!,"$' +" ('$'! %",(o '!%o(o 4+$+!o.U" /+'" !o"#s$%&o 's (' % o!$,"&%, &!+&%,) ,!, $o(os )os ,s '&$os (') "'8o&%o